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Wired West: Volume 8, no. 1
Calgary Events
Digging for Dirt or Mining for Gold: What you can
Learn from a Company’s Annual Report
By Marjorie
Munroe.
SLA Calgary was pleased to welcome Bruce Hanson, Business
Development Manager from TD
Waterhouse, for our first luncheon
of the year on September 23 at the Palliser Hotel. 34 people
came out to hear Bruce discuss the fundamental analysis of
an annual report.
I walked away from this luncheon with a couple of key
messages:
- Annual reports are OLD NEWS, a snapshot
in a moment in time. The brokerage business works
on anticipation and expectation: looking at company
figures over a long period of time.
- It is critical
to compare a company to its peers. How do their
expenses compare? How does the debt equity ratio
compare? You need some industry knowledge.
- Has
the company accurately gauged its own risks and
exposure? The outlook from the annual report
is bound to have a positive spin. Is it realistic?
Bruce discussed a number of figures from the annual report
that are used by analysts to determine trends for
a particular company, including:
Balance Sheet – The
balance sheet is quite simply the figures that
determine the shareholder’s equity,
or book value if liquidated. Analysts look to discover
companies who have undervalued their assets. Do
they have a realistic grasp of their assets and liabilities?
For example, can they sell their properties at
market value under pressure? Can they receive their accounts
receivables?
Income Statement – Analysts will look
at the trend of earnings. What is the area of risk?
Are expenses over-inflated relative to peers? Look for
consistency.
Earnings per Share – Are the net earnings
per share growing?
Price Earnings Ration (PE ratio) – For
many analysts the current stock price (less preferred
dividends) over earnings per share is a key figure.
Examined over time this ratio will reflect the psychology
of a marketplace. In 1999, technology stocks had a huge
PE ratio because investor anticipation said earnings would
value quickly. This did not happen and we had the
tech stock crash.
Return on Equity (ROE) – For other
analysts the return on equity is a key figure because
it can reveal how good a company is at turning assets into
profit. This ratio is net earnings (less preferred
dividends) over common equity.
LTD to Capital – This
is the debt equity ratio, arrived at by examining
both long-term and short-term debt over shareholder’s
equity. Debt of 50% of equity is a good benchmark,
however it varies widely by industry, so it is key to compare
this figure among peer companies.
Cash Flow Statement – The
cash flow statement shows money moving through
a company related to a per share basis. Some analysts
will skip over the cash flow statement but oil companies,
for example, are valued more on a cash per share basis
than an earnings per share basis.
Bruce pointed us to a couple of key websites and sources
for finding information:
- http://www.standardandpoors.com
Standard & Poors
Stock Reports contain the same financial data
as an annual report but provide a 5-year or longer
history.
- http://www.reuters.com
Reuters
Pro Vestor Plus Company Report is an excellent
source for comparative peer data.
- http://www.argusresearch.com
Argus
Research Company reports provide an investment
thesis with a good look at the key issues. Vickers
Stock Research provides an insider trading report.
Perhaps a period with many insider sells is a warning?
- http://www.tdwaterhouse.com/index.asp
The
TD Waterhouse discount broker site provides all
kinds of free reports to those with an account,
and there is no charge to set up an account.
- http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com
Bigcharts.com
is an excellent source of free price history charts
for Canadian and US stocks. It also provides
technical analysis.
Bruce mentioned the following title as a an example from
an analyst who considers the PE Ratio as the most critical
criteria for evaluating a company:
Moore, Geoffrey A., Paul Johnson and Tom Kippola. The
Gorilla Game: An Investor's Guide to Picking Winners
in High Technology. New York: HarperBusiness, 1999.
Marjorie Munroe is an Account Executive
with Lexis-Nexis and is the Calgary Director
for SLA WCC 2004/2005.
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